Israeli Arab parties are projected to win 18 seats in Israel’s election, doubling their 2022 tally, as Netanyahu and Eisenkot’s blocs remain tied. The result could shift the political landscape, forcing both leaders to negotiate with Arab parties to form a government.
Exit polls show Eisenkot’s bloc and Netanyahu’s right-wing alliance tied at 51 seats each, with Arab parties gaining 18 seats. Eisenkot faces challenges in securing a majority, requiring talks with Arab parties like Ra’am and the Joint List. Netanyahu’s far-right allies may block any deal involving Arab support.
Eisenkot has set conditions for coalition talks, including recognition of Israel as a Jewish state and denouncing Hamas. Arab parties, particularly Ra’am, may be more open to negotiation, but the Joint List is likely to resist. A minority government or another election could follow if no agreement is reached.
Eisenkot and Netanyahu both lack the 61 seats needed for a majority, leaving Israel’s president with discretion over government formation. The outcome could lead to prolonged negotiations or a new election, with Netanyahu potentially rallying support to claim victory.